Free Sports Picks

Ricky's 1* play on ATL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.

- Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

- Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Dodgers -130

The Los Angeles Dodgers should be bigger favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight given their starting pitching and bullpen advantage.  Justin Wrobleski is 7-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts for the Dodgers this season.  Ryne Nelson is 2-4 with a 4.82 ERA in 12 starts for the Diamondbacks, and 1-2 with a 5.97 ERA in six home starts.  The Dodgers have a 3.21 ERA as a bullpen while the Diamondbacks have a 4.04 ERA.  Give me the Dodgers.

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My selection is on the 'under' between Golden State and Minnesota at 9 pm et on Thursday.

Golden State is one of the WNBA's best defensive teams in my opinion yet it has been a boon for 'over' bettors in recent weeks. I look for a reversal of that trend moving forward, beginning with this matchup against Minnesota on Thursday. The Valkyries have held eight of nine opponents to fewer than 70 field goal attempts this season. They do check in off a strong shooting performance themselves, knocking down 32-of-69 field goal attempts last time out but that was against the expansion Fire. Minnesota has been elite defensively so far this season, especially in recent contests, as it has limited five straight opponents to fewer than 30 made field goals and four of those foes to 24 or less. Offensively, the Lynx have been terrific, but again, they're taking a step up in class here after a road trip that saw them face the Sky and Mercury - two of the league's weakest teams out of the gate this season. Take the under (8*).

1* Free Pick on Padres/Phillies: over 8

The price on this Over is fair, and the path to 9 runs runs straight through Padres starter Lucas Giolito.

Giolito carries a 4.97 ERA backed by a 5.05 xERA, which tells me the surface number isn't a fluke.

He's walked 9 batters in his last 7.2 innings combined and lasted just 2.2 innings on May 29 against Washington, giving up 4 earned runs.

Now he walks into Citizens Bank Park with 84 degrees at first pitch and a Phillies lineup that punishes free passes.

Schwarber, Harper, and Bohm don't miss when a starter can't find the zone.

The opposition case is built on Phillies ace Zack Wheeler and a wall of Under trends: 10 of Philly's last 11, 8 of San Diego's last 10, and 6 of 6 in the head-to-head.

That's the real argument against this ticket, and I respect it.

But Wheeler's own Statcast says he's been pitching above his head.

His 2.27 ERA sits against a 3.19 xERA, and he just gave up 4 earned runs to the Dodgers in his last outing.

The Padres are banged up with Cronenworth, Campusano, and Laureano out, but Tatis, Machado, Merrill, and Bogaerts are still a top-half offense against a regressing starter.

Giolito gets pulled early, the Padres scratch 3 or 4 against Wheeler at his mean, and this total clears.

Trends describe the past.

The pitching matchup describes today.

I like the Over

Thursday Card has the 2X PERFECT Game 2 Stanley Cup Finals Play a LATE Undefeated WNBA TOTALS SYSTEM (WNBA #1 RANKED THIS YEAR) and MLB. Soccer Comp Play below

The Thursday Comp play is on the Over 2.5 goals in the Czech Republic vs Guatemala match at 8 eastern. Look for some scoring here especially from the Czech team to plays an attacking style and are off a nice 2-1 win over Kosovo. They are awaiting the World Cup after finishing 2nd in their Group. They are 41st in the ranking compared to 96th for Guatemala and will likely control the play here and generate numerous scoring chances. The Guatemala team is off a bad loss last out and this match is even tougher the most likely result here is a Czech win in a game that plays over. GL Rob V

OVER 9

Kansas City and Minnesota have value to the over. Kansas City sends out Seth Lugo, who has been up and down at times this season. He’s also had a tough career against the Twins, owning an ERA of 4.76. Minnesota counters with rookie Andrew Morris, who has typically worked out of the pen, but has had to step into the rotation to open games for bullpen days. This Twins bullpen is a struggle and we will see plenty of scoring opportunities both ways. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE MLB O/U Play

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Blue Jays vs Braves MLB Free Pick 

The Angle(s): The Atlanta Braves are 25–9 straight up and an impressive 23–11 against the runline sa favorites laying -130 or more on the season, showing how often they not only win but do so by margin. Chris Sale (8–3, 2.01 ERA) has been electric as usual, and the Braves are 7–2 against the runline as favorites with Sale on the mound, making this a spot where laying the runs is very much in play.  

The Bet: BRAVES -1½ (3%). 

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Dodgers/Diamondbacks under 9½ -114

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: A's +122

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Thursday 6-4-26

OVER 9 San Francisco/Milwaukee (Houser/Crow) Listed

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1* Best Bet on Royals -1½

No analysis provided.

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Pittsburgh Pirates +102

The Pittsburgh Pirates have one of the most improved offenses in baseball.  They are now scoring 5.2 runs per game this season after scoring 9 runs or more in four consecutive games coming in.  After blowing a 6-run lead to the Astros yesterday, look for the Pirates to come back highly motivated tonight.

The Astros are scoring 4.6 runs per game this season, but they are missing nearly half their lineup due to injury.  They have managed to get by without some of these guys, but they are still just 28-35 on the season largely due to injuries and a very poor staff.  They are allowing 5.1 runs per game.

Kai-Wei Teng has not been able to go deep in games for the Astros, so their already tired bullpen will get exposed again today.  The Astros have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.33 ERA this season.  Their bullpen went 4 innings in Game 1 and 5 innings in Game 2 using five different relievers last night.

Jared Jones makes his 2nd start back from injury and should be much sharper than his first.  He posted a 2.89 ERA in five starts in the minors.  Jones is 6-8 with a 4.36 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 23 career starts in the big leagues with 138 K's in 126 innings.  Bet the Pirates Thursday.

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Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Royals/Twins OVER 9

The Key: The weather will be favorable for runs tonight in Minnesota with temps approaching 80 and light winds blowing out to left field.  Seth Lugo has yielded 16 ER and 3 HR in 13 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against the Twins.  He has yielded at least one HR in 3 consecutive starts coming in.  Andrew Morris is just an opener for the Twins as they will make this a bullpen game.  This is a very poor Minnesota bullpen with a 4.75 ERA on the year.  The Royals have been even worse with a 5.06 ERA as a bullpen.  Take the OVER.

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